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dc.contributor.authorKnutsen, Bjørn Olav Haram
dc.contributor.authorPedersen, Marius Nyquist
dc.date.accessioned2024-11-22T14:04:05Z
dc.date.available2024-11-22T14:04:05Z
dc.date.created2024-11-20T13:47:38Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.identifier.issn2387-4562
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11250/3166222
dc.description.abstractThe aim of this paper is to analyse climate change as a threat multiplier to security dilemmas in the Arctic. Security dilemmas occur when one state’s efforts to enhance its security provokes reactions from other states, potentially leading to less security for all states involved. In an era of growing great power competition and confrontation, climate change might be a threat multiplier. This article contributes to our understanding of Arctic security dynamics by conducting a set of semi-structured interviews with mainly Norwegian civilian and military personnel on possible security dilemmas because of climate change. By applying Robert Jervis’ approach to security dilemmas, we ask how climate change affects how NATO and Russia interact in this area and how climate change might cause actors to pursue more offensive strategies in the north at the expense of defensive ones. By analysing state actors, day-to-day operations, and exercises, we conclude that climate change is poised to tilt the offence-defence balance not in favour of offensive strategies, but rather towards an offence-defence balance. We therefore conclude that there is no traditional security dilemma that may be exacerbated by climate change. Instead of exacerbating a security dilemma, climate change may precipitate one.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.rightsNavngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.no*
dc.titleHow to Understand Climate Change as a Threat Multiplier in the Arcticen_US
dc.typePeer revieweden_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.description.versionpublishedVersionen_US
dc.rights.holder© 2024 The Author(s)en_US
dc.source.pagenumber153–176en_US
dc.source.volume15en_US
dc.source.journalArctic Review on Law and Politicsen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.23865/arctic.v15.6500
dc.identifier.cristin2322041


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Navngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as Navngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal